Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/11681/34284
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dc.contributor.authorUnited States. Army. Corps of Engineers. Jacksonville District-
dc.date.accessioned2019-10-02T15:28:44Z-
dc.date.available2019-10-02T15:28:44Z-
dc.date.issued2018-06-
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11681/34284-
dc.descriptionFeasibility Report / Environmental Assessment-
dc.description.abstractSan Juan Harbor is located on the northeastern coast of Puerto Rico and is the island’s busiest port, accounting for over half of the total cargo tonnage passing through Puerto Rican ports in 2015. San Juan is also an important cruise port. In 2015 San Juan Harbor ranked 8th among North American and Caribbean cruise ports in terms of total number of passengers. Among Caribbean ports it ranked 4th in total passengers. Currently there are navigational constraints, which cause loading inefficiencies, in-port delays, and increased maneuvering times. The existing and future fleets of petroleum tankers and the future fleet of LNG tankers transiting the Army Terminal Channel and the current fleet of cruise vessels utilizing the cruise docks north of the San Antonio Approach Channel are the main sources of project benefits. Measures considered in the analysis would allow larger petroleum tankers and LNG vessels to call San Juan Harbor, allow these larger vessels to use San Juan Harbor more efficiently through increased vessel loading, allow existing medium range (MR) tanker vessels to use San Juan Harbor more efficiently through increased vessel loading, reduce cruise vessel maneuvering times within the port, and allow use of waterway transportation of LPG direct to San Juan rather than trucking of the product from the island’s southern coast. This economic analysis examined widening and deepening. The HarborSym model was used to determine total transportation costs attributable to the study port. Transportation cost savings were determined based on the difference in total transportation costs between the with- and without-project conditions. Power generation cost reduction benefits were calculated using power generation cost information provided by the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA). Due to uncertainty associated with PREPA’s future conversion from the use of diesel fuel to LNG for power generation, the economic analysis and plan formulation were completed using two distinct sets of future with-project (FWP) condition assumptions resulting in a range of possible project benefits. The two scenarios considered are the following: 1.) Assume San Juan area power plants will convert from the use of diesel fuel for power generation in the future without-project condition to the use of LNG for power generation if a Federal navigation project is constructed. Include power generation cost reduction benefits as a project benefit. 2.) Assume San Juan area power plants will maintain use of diesel fuel in the future both with and without a Federal navigation project. Do not include power generation cost reduction benefits as a project benefit. Both analyses outlined above resulted in the same National Economic Development (NED) plan, which includes the following measures: - Widen Army Terminal Channel from 350’ to 450’ - Deepen Cut 6 to 46’ - Deepen Anegado Channel to 44’ - Deepen Army Terminal Channel to 44’ - Deepen Army Terminal Turning Basin to 44’ - Construct eastern and western flares at the southern end of the Army Terminal Turning Basin - Deepen Cruise Ship Basin East to 36’ - Deepen San Antonio Approach Channel, San Antonio Channel, and San Antonio Channel Extension to 36’ - Expand the Federal limits of San Antonio Channel Extension to the east by 1,050 feet to incorporate into the Federal project that area which was previously constructed to a 36 foot depth by the Port. The combination of measures listed above reasonably maximizes net benefits and makes up the recommended plan. Considering each of the aforementioned scenarios, the recommended plan provides average annual net benefits ranging from $2,041,000 to $60,097,000 and has a benefit-cost ratio ranging from 1.9:1 to 5.0:1 at the FY18 Federal Water Resources Discount Rate of 2.75 percent and FY18 price levels.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Background, Problems, and Objectives ........................................................................................ 1 1.2 Economic Appendix Overview ...................................................................................................... 1 2 Socioeconomics..................................................................................................................................... 2 2.1 Population ..................................................................................................................................... 2 2.1.1 Historical Population of Puerto Rico ..................................................................................... 3 2.1.2 Puerto Rico Population Projections ...................................................................................... 3 2.1.3 Population Density ................................................................................................................ 4 2.1.4 San Juan Puerto Rico and Top Ten Municipalities by Population ......................................... 5 2.2 Employment and Income .............................................................................................................. 6 2.2.1 Employment by Sector .......................................................................................................... 6 2.2.2 Income and Poverty .............................................................................................................. 7 2.3 Environmental Justice (EJ) ............................................................................................................ 8 3 Existing Conditions at Port .................................................................................................................. 11 3.1 Port Configuration, Infrastructure, and Overall Operations ....................................................... 11 3.2 Commodities and Cargo .............................................................................................................. 16 3.3 Vessel Traffic ............................................................................................................................... 18 3.4 Existing Condition Operations and Navigational Constraints ..................................................... 19 3.4.1 General Operational Considerations .................................................................................. 21 3.4.2 Petroleum Tanker Operations and Navigational Constraints ............................................. 22 3.4.3 Cruise Ship Operations and Navigational Constraints ........................................................ 28 3.4.4 Container Ship Operations and Navigational Constraints .................................................. 32 3.4.5 LPG Operations ................................................................................................................... 34 3.5 Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) San Juan Harbor Existing Condition and Future Plans .................................................................................................................................................... 34 4 Commodity Forecast ........................................................................................................................... 37 5 Future Without-Project (FWOP) Overview ......................................................................................... 39 6 Management Measures and Economic Modeling Phases .................................................................. 40 6.1 Economic Screening of Study Measures ..................................................................................... 42 6.1.1 Screening of Graving Dock Channel and Turning Basin Improvements .............................. 42 6.1.2 Screening of Puerto Nuevo Channel Improvements .......................................................... 43 6.2 Study Measures Carried Forward for Economic Modeling ......................................................... 44 7 Estimated Costs ................................................................................................................................... 44 8 HarborSym Analysis ............................................................................................................................ 46 8.1.1 Model Overview .......................................................................................................................... 46 8.1.2 Model Setup ................................................................................................................................ 47 8.1.3 Harbor Configuration .................................................................................................................. 47 8.1.4 Vessel Classes ...................................................................................................................... 50 8.1.5 Commodity Grouping .......................................................................................................... 51 8.1.6 Trade Routes ....................................................................................................................... 52 8.1.7 Rules .................................................................................................................................... 54 8.1.8 Vessel Operating Costs (VOCs) ............................................................................................ 54 8.1.9 Estimate Total Trip Cargo (ETTC) ........................................................................................ 54 8.1.10 Tons per Inch Immersion (TPI) ............................................................................................ 55 8.1.11 Modeling Strategy ............................................................................................................... 56 8.1.12 Period of Analysis ................................................................................................................ 57 8.2 Economic Modeling Phases ........................................................................................................ 58 8.2.1 Phase 1: Army Terminal Channel Widening ........................................................................ 60 8.2.2 Phase 2: Cut 6 through Army Terminal Channel Deepening .............................................. 63 8.2.3 Phase 5: San Antonio Channel and Cruise Ship Turning Basin East Deepening Measures . 66 9 Power Generation Cost Reduction Analysis........................................................................................ 69 9.1 Benefit Calculation ...................................................................................................................... 70 9.2 Tonnage Calculation .................................................................................................................... 71 9.3 Fuel Prices ................................................................................................................................... 71 10 Recommended Plan Summary ........................................................................................................ 72 11 Risk and Uncertainty ....................................................................................................................... 76 11.1 Modeling Assumptions ............................................................................................................... 76 11.2 Power Generation Cost Reduction Benefits ............................................................................... 77 12 Sensitivity Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 81 13 NED Unemployment Benefits (San Juan Harbor) ........................................................................... 81 13.1 Background ................................................................................................................................. 81 13.2 Requirements .............................................................................................................................. 82 13.2.1 Unemployment Threshold .................................................................................................. 82 13.2.2 Labor Pool / Labor Demand Congruency ............................................................................ 83 13.3 NED Benefit Calculation .............................................................................................................. 87-
dc.format.extent96 pages / 3.221 Mb-
dc.format.mediumPDF/A-
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherUnited States. Army. Corps of Engineers. Jacksonville District.en_US
dc.rightsApproved for Public Release; Distribution is Unlimited-
dc.sourceThis Digital Resource was created in Microsoft Word and Adobe Acrobat-
dc.subjectSan Juan (P.R.)en_US
dc.subjectHarbors--Puerto Ricoen_US
dc.subjectNavigationen_US
dc.subjectEnvironmental managementen_US
dc.titleSan Juan Harbor, Puerto Rico : Integrated Feasibility Report and Environmental Assessment : Appendix C, Economicsen_US
dc.typeReporten_US
Appears in Collections:Environmental Documents

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