1. ERDC Knowledge Core
  2. Engineer Research and Development Center (ERDC)
  3. Construction Engineering Research Laboratory (CERL) - (9/9/1968 - present)
  4. Publication
  5. Technical Report
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/11681/34162
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dc.contributor.authorBastian, Elizabeth G.-
dc.contributor.authorMunaretto, Claire-
dc.contributor.authorMyers, Natalie R. D.-
dc.contributor.authorBaxter, Carey L.-
dc.contributor.authorFishman, Jamie-
dc.contributor.authorWestervelt, James D.-
dc.contributor.authorEhlschlaeger, Charles R.-
dc.contributor.authorBurkhalter, Jeffrey A.-
dc.date.accessioned2019-09-23T18:28:51Z-
dc.date.available2019-09-23T18:28:51Z-
dc.date.issued2019-09-
dc.identifier.govdocERDC/CERL TR-19-13-
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11681/34162-
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.21079/11681/34162-
dc.descriptionTechnical Report-
dc.description.abstractThis report presents technical explanations and specific enumerations for a cholera risk framework developed as a part of a multi-year project funded by the Army Research, Development, Test and Evaluation Pro-gram. This effort employed a novel data-conflation technology called the Framework for the Integration of Complex Urban Systems (FICUS), which uses a broad base of peer-reviewed research on established indicators of sociocultural or health-driven risk conditions of interest for intelligence or threat analysis in a given region. Researchers performed a specialized case study that incorporates results and data from previous programmatic work, including FICUS development and an existing theoretical humanitarian crisis (HC) framework. New data required for this framework included identification of conditions for contracting cholera, micro-survey data from global resources, and a digital population model that matches the survey data to existing population census data. The cholera framework research succeeded in using relevant microdata from the HC framework, then manipulating the HC framework to better inform cholera risk modeling. In general, the use of risk-analysis frameworks with FICUS is intended to produce case studies that provide non-obvious insights to the user while accounting for and reducing data gaps and uncertainties.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipUnited States. Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics, and Technology.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipMilitary Facilities Engineering Technology Program (U.S.)-
dc.description.tableofcontentsAbstract .......................................................................................................................................................... ii Figures and Tables ........................................................................................................................................ iv Preface ............................................................................................................................................................. v 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Background ..................................................................................................................... 1 1.1.1 FICUS demographic models ................................................................................................ 2 1.1.2 Humanitarian crisis framework .......................................................................................... 6 1.1.3 Cholera: an epidemiological overview ................................................................................ 8 1.2 Objective .......................................................................................................................... 9 1.3 Approach ......................................................................................................................... 9 2 Developing the Framework ............................................................................................................... 10 2.1 Input data ...................................................................................................................... 12 2.2 Risk value ...................................................................................................................... 13 2.3 Weights .......................................................................................................................... 14 2.4 Unknown components .................................................................................................. 14 2.5 Roll-up computation ..................................................................................................... 15 2.5.1 Favorability functions ........................................................................................................ 15 2.5.2 Quantifying errors and uncertainty ................................................................................... 16 3 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................18 References ................................................................................................................................................... 19 Acronyms and Abbreviations .................................................................................................................... 27 Appendix A: Metadata for Cholera Framework and Components .................................................... 28 Report Documentation Page (SF 298) ................................................................................................ 294-
dc.format.extent302 pages / 45.69 Mb-
dc.format.mediumPDF/A-
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherConstruction Engineering Research Laboratory (U.S.)en_US
dc.publisherEngineer Research and Development Center (U.S.)-
dc.relation.ispartofseriesTechnical Report (Engineer Research and Development Center (U.S.)) ; no. ERDC/CERL TR-19-13-
dc.rightsApproved for Public Release; Distribution is Unlimited-
dc.sourceThis Digital Resource was created in Microsoft Word and Adobe Acrobat-
dc.subjectMetropolitan areasen_US
dc.subjectCities and townsen_US
dc.subjectCholera--Transmissionen_US
dc.subjectEpidemicsen_US
dc.subjectHumanitarian assistanceen_US
dc.subjectEpidemiologyen_US
dc.titleDevelopment of a cholera epidemiological risk assessment frameworken_US
dc.typeReporten_US
Appears in Collections:Technical Report

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